{
 "generated_at": "2026-10-28T10:32:47Z",
 "site": "https://signals.casa",
 "about": "Public signals.casa gauges. Educational, not investment advice. Restricted third-party values are withheld; the status is computed from them.",
 "gauges": [
  {
   "id": "hy_oas",
   "group": "Credit stress",
   "name": "Junk-bond spread (ICE BofA US High Yield OAS)",
   "plain": "How much extra yield risky companies must pay to borrow",
   "value": null,
   "withheld": true,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2026-10-26",
   "status": "ok",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": 4.0,
   "fired": 5.5,
   "direction": "up_is_bad",
   "source": "ICE Data Indices, LLC (ICE BofA US High Yield Index OAS), via FRED",
   "licence": "restricted",
   "withheld_reason": "ICE Data Indices does not permit reproduction without written permission"
  },
  {
   "id": "ig_oas",
   "group": "Credit stress",
   "name": "Investment-grade spread (ICE BofA US Corporate OAS)",
   "plain": "The same, for safer companies",
   "value": null,
   "withheld": true,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2026-10-26",
   "status": "ok",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": 1.3,
   "fired": 1.8,
   "direction": "up_is_bad",
   "source": "ICE Data Indices, LLC (ICE BofA US Corporate Index OAS), via FRED",
   "licence": "restricted",
   "withheld_reason": "ICE Data Indices does not permit reproduction without written permission"
  },
  {
   "id": "nfci",
   "group": "Credit stress",
   "name": "Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index",
   "plain": "Above zero means money is tighter than average",
   "value": -0.496,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "index",
   "as_of": "2026-10-16",
   "status": "ok",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": -0.25,
   "fired": 0.0,
   "direction": "up_is_bad",
   "source": "Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, National Financial Conditions Index, via FRED",
   "licence": "citation"
  },
  {
   "id": "ust10",
   "group": "Rates",
   "name": "10-year Treasury yield",
   "plain": "The rate most loans and valuations are priced off",
   "value": 5.0,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2026-10-26",
   "status": "ok",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": 5.25,
   "fired": 5.5,
   "direction": "up_is_bad",
   "source": "Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, H.15, via FRED",
   "licence": "public_domain"
  },
  {
   "id": "ust30",
   "group": "Rates",
   "name": "30-year Treasury yield",
   "plain": "Long-term borrowing cost",
   "value": 5.31,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2026-10-26",
   "status": "context",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "context",
   "source": "Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, H.15, via FRED",
   "licence": "public_domain"
  },
  {
   "id": "curve_2s10s",
   "group": "Rates",
   "name": "10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread",
   "plain": "Below zero (inverted) has come before recessions",
   "value": 0.29,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "pts",
   "as_of": "2026-10-27",
   "status": "ok",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": 0.1,
   "fired": 0.0,
   "direction": "down_is_bad",
   "source": "Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year minus 2-Year Treasury (T10Y2Y), FRED",
   "licence": "citation"
  },
  {
   "id": "real10",
   "group": "Rates",
   "name": "10-year real yield (TIPS)",
   "plain": "Interest after inflation; gold tends to fall when this rises",
   "value": 2.66,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2026-10-26",
   "status": "context",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "context",
   "source": "Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, H.15, via FRED",
   "licence": "public_domain"
  },
  {
   "id": "diesel",
   "group": "Energy",
   "name": "US retail diesel price (EIA, weekly)",
   "plain": "Fuel cost for trucks and farms; a tax on the economy when high",
   "value": 6.352,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "$/gal",
   "as_of": "2026-10-26",
   "status": "context",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "context",
   "source": "U.S. Energy Information Administration, via FRED",
   "licence": "public_domain"
  },
  {
   "id": "kev_adds_30d",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "KEV additions in 30 days",
   "plain": "New additions to CISA's known-exploited catalog",
   "value": 32,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "count",
   "as_of": "2026-10-27",
   "status": "ok",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": 39.0,
   "fired": 52.0,
   "direction": "up_is_bad",
   "source": "CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog",
   "licence": "public_domain"
  },
  {
   "id": "kev_lag_median_days",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "NVD publication to KEV lag",
   "plain": "Proxy for disclosure-to-known-exploitation listing, not patch-to-mass-exploitation time",
   "value": 8.5,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "days",
   "as_of": "2026-10-27",
   "status": "context",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": 0,
   "direction": "down_is_bad",
   "source": "CISA KEV and NIST National Vulnerability Database",
   "licence": "public_domain"
  },
  {
   "id": "sec_item105_30d",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "8-K Item 1.05 filings in 30 days",
   "plain": "All filers; unique original and amended 8-K accessions with an exact Item 1.05 code",
   "value": null,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "filings",
   "as_of": null,
   "status": "UNAVAILABLE",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "up_is_bad",
   "source": "SEC EDGAR",
   "licence": "public_domain"
  },
  {
   "id": "epss_kev_percentile",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "Recent KEV EPSS median percentile",
   "plain": "Daily EPSS percentile for recent KEV additions; detail also shows new-CVE high-EPSS share",
   "value": null,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "percentile",
   "as_of": "2026-10-27",
   "status": "UNAVAILABLE",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "up_is_bad",
   "source": "FIRST, Exploit Prediction Scoring System (EPSS)",
   "licence": "citation"
  },
  {
   "id": "cyber_insurance",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "Marsh US cyber rate change",
   "plain": "Dated US cyber insurance rate change; not the global composite",
   "value": 0,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2026-09-30",
   "status": "context",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "up_is_bad",
   "source": "Marsh Global Insurance Market Index",
   "licence": "citation"
  },
  {
   "id": "ciab_cyber",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "CIAB cyber premium change",
   "plain": "Dated quarterly cyber renewal premium change",
   "value": -3.2,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2026-08-18",
   "status": "context",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "context",
   "source": "The Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers (CIAB) market survey",
   "licence": "citation"
  },
  {
   "id": "naic_cyber_premiums",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "NAIC US cyber direct written premiums",
   "plain": "Annual direct written business, including alien surplus lines",
   "value": 9.46,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "$bn",
   "as_of": "2026-10-21",
   "status": "context",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "context",
   "source": "NAIC Report on the Cyber Insurance Market",
   "licence": "citation"
  },
  {
   "id": "naic_cyber_loss_ratio",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "NAIC cyber loss ratio",
   "plain": "Annual industry-wide loss ratio",
   "value": 53.0,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2026-10-21",
   "status": "context",
   "stale": false,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "context",
   "source": "NAIC Report on the Cyber Insurance Market",
   "licence": "citation"
  },
  {
   "id": "artemis_cyber_spread",
   "group": "Cyber",
   "name": "Artemis cyber bond spread",
   "plain": "Dated spread for a named cyber bond and tranche; not an aggregate index",
   "value": 8.5,
   "withheld": false,
   "unit": "%",
   "as_of": "2025-12-01",
   "status": "STALE",
   "stale": true,
   "watch": null,
   "fired": null,
   "direction": "context",
   "source": "Artemis.bm",
   "licence": "citation"
  }
 ]
}